Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 2:17 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has posted 1.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.4 more than he's posted in all games this year at home.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Kevin Durant will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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