Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has put up 6.9 defensive boards per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the NBA in this category in recent days: 96th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.7 minutes per game this year.
The Suns are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 7thbest in in the league as the road team with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league while playing on the road this year.
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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