Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs New York Knicks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has compiled 6.2 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 95th percentile.
Kevin Durant has tallied 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has tallied a lowly 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 0.2 technicals per game last season.
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Knicks (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).
Kevin Durant should see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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