Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has compiled 6.6 defensive rebounds per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant ought to see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 1.8 clip, Kevin Durant's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 2.3.
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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