Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Kevin Durant will likely see a rise in production across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has totaled just 0.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 0.4 offensive rebounds per game last year.
The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
When playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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