Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/31/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Oct 31, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 0.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's tallied overall this year at home.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
While on their home court, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant should see a spike in performance for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 1.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.

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