Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has compiled 6.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard over this stretch of games.
Kevin Durant has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 98th percentile.
Kevin Durant has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Clippers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
The Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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