Kevin Durant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has compiled 6.3 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 95th percentile.
Kevin Durant has averaged 31.3 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
Kevin Durant has committed 0.3 personal fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 9th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

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