Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2026

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 6, 2026

Updated Mar 7, 2026 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has scored 29.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's scored overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a good one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have put up the highest FG% in the NBA this year (51.5%).
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA while at home this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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