Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2026

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 31, 2026

Updated Feb 1, 2026 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has totaled 31.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's totaled in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league this year (the Mavericks).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

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