Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2026

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 11, 2026

Updated Jan 12, 2026 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has totaled 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's totaled overall this season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a positive matchup.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Rockets.

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