Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2026

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Jan 3, 2026

Updated Jan 4, 2026 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

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