Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 3, 2025

Updated Nov 4, 2025 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.5 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season with respect to treys.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.

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