Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets · Mar 30, 2025

Updated Mar 31, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Kevin Durant has converted 66.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 19.5% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 36.8 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to offense, the Suns's excellent 117.5 points per game places 10th-strongest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Rockets, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Suns.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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