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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 3/26/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Durant has sunk 57.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year while at home.
  • Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 37.0 minutes per game this year.
  • In terms of scoring, the Suns's stellar 121.8 points per game playing at home settles in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
  • Kevin Durant has converted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
  • Kevin Durant will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the other team's starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.
  • The 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
  • The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).
  • The Suns have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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