Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 97th percentile, compiling a massive 25.7 points per game while playing away from home this year.
Kevin Durant has sunk 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Suns have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Phoenix Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).
Kevin Durant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production across the board.

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