Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has posted 26.8 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
Kevin Durant has made 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.6%).

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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