Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+104/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 97th percentile, averaging a whopping 25.6 points per game while on the road this year.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant registers in the 87th percentile for 3-point prowess while on the road with an outstanding 40.9% rate this year.
Kevin Durant has tallied 37.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Suns check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have registered 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Favors Under

The Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the league).
Kevin Durant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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