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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has compiled 25.8 points per game away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.

Kevin Durant has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.1 minutes per game this year.

The Suns check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 6th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 three-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a tough matchup.

The Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant is expected to experience a decrease in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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