Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 97th percentile, averaging a massive 25.6 points per game while playing on the road this year.
Kevin Durant has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant places in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 36.9 minutes per game this year.
The Suns rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
The 4th-fastest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making this a tough matchup.
The Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

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