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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-141/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has converted 61.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.4% more than he's converted over the course of the season playing at home.

Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Suns rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.

Kevin Durant has converted 92.9% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.8% higher than he's made overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (40.6%).

The 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

The Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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