Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 25, 2025

Updated Feb 26, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 25.6 points per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
Kevin Durant has converted 41.1% of his three-point attempts when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has tallied 36.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
In terms of threes, the Suns's remarkable 37.9% rate of converted threes while on the road ranks 4th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against Memphis is a good one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Kevin Durant will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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