Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant measures in the 98th percentile for shots from the field scored away from home, tallying a massive 9.3 per game this year.
Kevin Durant has made 53.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 10.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 36.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The Suns have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a difficult one; when the Spurs are at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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