Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 11, 2025

Updated Feb 12, 2025 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant places in the 99th percentile for shots scored, posting a monstrous 9.8 per game this year.
Kevin Durant has attempted 7.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Kevin Durant has averaged 36.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Suns's exceptional 37.7% rate of drained threes rates 5th-most in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Suns.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Memphis is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Grizzlies are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).
The 6th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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