Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 31, 2025

Updated Feb 1, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has compiled 26.3 points per game on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Kevin Durant has successfully made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Kevin Durant has averaged 36.0 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 38.6% rate of made threes when playing on the road places highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.8).

Favors Under

The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Suns.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on the road with only 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Warriors, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Kevin Durant should suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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