Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 99th percentile, compiling a monstrous 27.1 points per game this year.
Kevin Durant has made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game this year.
The Suns check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant lands in the 96th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, compiling a whopping 5.5 free throws per game at home this year.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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