Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has scored 27.2 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
Kevin Durant has converted 52.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Kevin Durant has averaged 36.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
With respect to shooting, the Suns's superb 117.6 points per game playing at home rates 9th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 96th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, tallying a monstrous 5.7 free throws per game at home this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (27.2%).
The Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Suns are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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