Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 14, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-132/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 25.7 points per game away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
Kevin Durant has played 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 3rd-highest field goal rate in the league this year (54.1%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Suns.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Zaccharie Risacher has been very low this year (2.5 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 19th percentile).
Kevin Durant will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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