Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 10, 2025 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has compiled 34.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.7 more than he's compiled in all games this season at home.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
With respect to 3-point shots, the Suns's superb 37.6% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have registered 21.1 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.
The Suns will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.
The Suns check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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