Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 21.0 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Kevin Durant has successfully made 45.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
In regard to three-point shots, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 39.5% rate of sunk threes away from their home court measures as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 45.6% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the 76ers, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court (7th-least in the league).
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all stat categories.