Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant measures in the 98th percentile, compiling a colossal 26.1 points per game away from home this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant registers in the 93rd percentile for three-point effectiveness without the home court advantage with a superb 47.6% rate this year.
Kevin Durant has averaged 36.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The least up-tempo tempo road team in the league this year has been the Suns.
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production across the board.

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