Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Warriors are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 10th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Kevin Durant has successfully made 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Suns's unimpressive 105.0 points per game rates 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Kevin Durant will likely experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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