Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-117/-117).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 91st percentile for three-pointers drained, logging 2.6 per game this year.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Suns have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, opposing starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%).

Favors Under

The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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