Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 26.8 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.
Kevin Durant has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 36.3 minutes per game while at home this year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home this year has been the Suns.
The 6th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 11 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a tough one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to reduce plays for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 6thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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