Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant comes in at the 98th percentile for shots hit, tallying a whopping 9.8 per game this year.
Kevin Durant has tallied 36.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
Kevin Durant has successfully made 4.3 foul shots per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kevin Durant will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Suns rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have posted 11.4 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nets, creating a tough matchup for offensive performance.
The 5th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nets).
The matchup against Brooklyn is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Nets are away from home (least in the NBA).

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