Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 26, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-132/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for shots from the field converted, registering a monstrous 9.9 per game this year.
Kevin Durant has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant places in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 38.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Lakers, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Suns's poor 105.0 points per game places 4th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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