Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has successfully made 9.8 field goals per game away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Kevin Durant has converted 2.2 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 39.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The Suns have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Kevin Durant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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