Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:24 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has totaled 29.3 points per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
Kevin Durant has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 37.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Suns rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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