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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Durant has totaled 29.3 points per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
  • Kevin Durant has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
  • Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 37.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
  • The Suns rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Phoenix Suns.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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