Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has registered 28.2 points per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant ranks in the 91st percentile for three-point ability while at home with a stellar 43.7% rate since the start of last season.
Kevin Durant has averaged 37.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Lakers, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the league at home with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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