Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 25, 2024

Updated Oct 26, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has made 9.8 shots made from the field per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 90th percentile for three-point ability while on the road with a superb 41.5% rate since the start of last season.
Kevin Durant has averaged 37.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
With respect to offense, the Phoenix Suns's excellent 115.6 points per game away from their home court ranks 6th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Suns check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).
Kevin Durant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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