Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 10/23/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 23, 2024

Updated Oct 24, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile, logging a monstrous 27.1 points per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant comes in at the 96th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a very good 42.5% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 37.4 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
Kevin Durant has attempted 5.8 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the LA Clippers are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (0.9).
The Suns will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo pace team in the league since the start of last season (the LA Clippers).
The Suns have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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