Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile, totaling a massive 27.0 points per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 37.3 minutes per game this year.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
Kevin Durant has sunk 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court.
As a team, the Suns have been terrific at getting to the foul line as the home team: best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 free throws per game.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 3rdworst in in the league while playing at home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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