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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Kevin Durant has averaged 37.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.

The Suns rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

Kevin Durant has successfully made 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on his home court.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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