Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 23, 2024 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 98th percentile for field goals hit while playing away from home, totaling a colossal 10.0 per game this year.
Kevin Durant has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 8th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Kevin Durant has sunk a measly 4.9 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 6.8 mark last year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (9th-least in the league).

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