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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/20/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has attempted 7.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game this year.

The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

In comparison to last season's 6.8 mark, Kevin Durant's free throws drained have dropped this season to 4.8 per game.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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