Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 5th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Compared to last year's 6.8 clip, Kevin Durant's free throws drained have fallen this year to 4.9 per game.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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