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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has converted 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted overall this season on the road.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 37.1 minutes per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have posted the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Suns.

In contrast to last season's 6.8 rate, Kevin Durant's free throws converted have been reduced this season to 4.9 per game.

The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Kevin Durant ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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