Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has converted 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while on the road.
Kevin Durant has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 37.1 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games while on the road when it comes to 3-point attempts.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 0.9 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
In contrast to last year's 7.4 clip, Kevin Durant's number of foul shot attempts has fallen this year to 5.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Kevin Durant figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.