Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 99th percentile for shots from the field scored, logging a whopping 10.1 per game this year.
Kevin Durant has converted 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

The Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games away from home in terms of three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 8th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (46.3%).
In contrast to last year's 7.4 rate, Kevin Durant's number of free throw attempts has dropped this year to 6.0 free throw attempts per game.
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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