Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has logged 26.6 points per game on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled 13.0 points per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
In contrast to last season's 6.8 mark, Kevin Durant's foul shots scored have tailed off this season to 5.2 per game.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Jeremy Sochan has been very low this year (2.9 free throws per game: 20th percentile).
Kevin Durant figures to see a decline in performance across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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